HALF-FULL REPORT 10/28/16

When one of the world’s best financial analysts and I find ourselves agreeing with one of the world’s most repulsive SJWs (social justice warriors), you know things are getting über-weird 12 days out from November 8.

Last night (10/27), over two fingers of Ardbeg neat (you don’t insult the best Islay single malt with water or ice), financial guru Michael Markowski and I discussed the bottom line consequences of who wins the White House.

We agreed that hell is coming to breakfast for the stock market no matter who wins.  The complete unsustainability of negative or near-zero interest rates is just one example (see Michael’s video on this below).

If Trump wins, his policies of eliminating regulatory hamstrings, raising interest rates instead of taxes, cutting spending, repatriating corporate offshore trillions, etc. will result in a V-shape recovery similar to that of Ronald Reagan’s in the early 80s.

If Hillary wins, her policies of more government regulation and taxes will result in a flatline L-shape anti-recovery similar to that of FDR’s in the 1930s, prolonging the Great Depression.  The scariest part of this scenario is that the only way we finally got out the Depression was with World War II.

Hillary, in other words, will use the coming inevitable crash as all Lefties traditionally use crises – as a rationale to expand government power and control over our lives.  Trump, on the other hand, will use it to expand economic freedom and opportunity which ends the crisis quickly instead of prolonging it and possibly ends in war.

Here’s Michael’s Powerpoint video explaining how spreading lower and negative interest rates will cause global banking system dysfunction resulting in market crash:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=knakZ4gfHoE

************

Fortified by another very wee dram of Ardbeg, Michael and I couldn’t help laughing at the irony on stilts of our agreeing with rabidly anti-capitalist filmmaker Michael Moore – who’s waaaay to the left of Hillary and burns with hate for Trump – explaining The 5 Reasons Why Trump Will Win.  This is absolutely the must-read of the week.

In sum, Moore is bitter that Trump will win because:

*Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin form our “Rustbelt Brexit” and will all go for Trump guaranteeing his electoral vote victory.

*Endangered white males will carry the day:  “After having had to endure eight years of a black man telling us what to do, we’re supposed to just sit back and take eight years of a woman bossing us around? After that it’ll be eight years of the gays in the White House! Then the transgenders! This has to stop!”

(Actually, vast numbers of women are just as angry at what Clinton represents as are men, and agree with Camille Paglia that Hillary is a phony feminist.)

*Hillary is the Dems’ problem, not Trump:  “She is hugely unpopular — nearly 70% of all voters think she is untrustworthy and dishonest… The enthusiasm just isn’t there. And because this election is going to come down to just one thing — who drags the most people out of the house and gets them to the polls — Trump right now is in the catbird seat.”

*Millions of “depressed Sanders voters” simply aren’t going to vote, or for a Third Party, as Hillary gives them no reason to vote for her.

*Like Minnesota voters electing a professional wrestler, Jesse Ventura, their governor in 1998, “millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can… voting for Ventura was (Minnesotans’) version of a good practical joke on a sick political system. This is going to happen again with Trump.”

Moore has now released what the New York Times panned as an “earnest but not very entertaining pro-Clinton campaign film” called TrumpLand.  There is, however, a 4-minute clip of the film in which he reprises his 5 Reasons to an audience that ends with declaring that Trump’s win will be “the biggest F-you ever recorded in human history.”

The YouTube clip was released on Monday (10/24) and already has over a million views.  Here it is with the warning that he drops the F-bomb repeatedly.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKeYbEOSqYc

************

Now let’s talk about clowns, media distortions, and polls.

Earlier this month (10/11), Chapman University issued its annual Survey of American Fears.  It turns out that the #1 fear of Americans, leaving everything else in the dust from terrorism to a loved one dying, is corrupt government officials.  Scroll down to the very bottom of the complete list and you’ll see what Americans are least afraid of save for people talking behind your back, is clowns.

Now look at this headline Wednesday (10/26) in the Daily Mail reporting on the Chapman survey:  More Americans Are Scared of Clowns than Terrorism and Dying.

While admitting Americans’ “top fear is corrupt government,” the story focuses on clowns and fear of them or “coulrophobia.”  Further, the story flat out lies, claiming the Chapman survey lists such a fear as #2 at 42%, behind only corrupt government at 61%.  You can see for yourself in the Chapman website, clown fear is 7.8%, ranking 78 out of 79 fears listed.

Look, there’s a squirrel!  The purpose is media misdirection, for you to think about the unimportant and not the important.

Here’s what’s important.  Fear of government corruption is the Numero Uno of American concern, which tallies with every Direction of Country poll there is.  While enemedia polls claim Hillary is far ahead of Trump, and independent pollsters show they are virtually tied, they all agree, from Associated Press to Rasmussen, that around 70% think that America is on the “Wrong Track. ”

So,  how can the vast majority of Americans think that our government is corrupt and leading our country in the wrong direction, and Hillary – the poster child of corrupt and status quo government – be way ahead of Trump much less even in who they’ll vote for?

In other words, who are you gonna believe, enemedia polls or your lying eyes?  Thanks to Wikileaks, our suspicions were confirmed this week (10/23) that the enemedia polls are rigged for Hillary by oversampling Democrats.

But what about legit polls like Rasmussen, IBD/TIPP, LAT/USC, that show them even?  They’re not rigged, but the HFR joins those who believe in something unfortunately called the Bradley Effect.

In 1982, the popular Mayor of Los Angeles, Tom Bradley, ran for California Governor and lost, even though every poll predicted he’d win handily.  Subsequent research attributed this to voters lying to pollsters.  It was politically correct for voters to say they were voting for Bradley since he was black.

Today, it’s politically correct to tell a pollster you’re for The PIAPS, politically incorrect in extremis for The Donald.  So they lie.

There are Trumpsters who take all this and predict a landslide for Trump.  While that would be nice, it’s a bridge too far.  What matters is that the vote for Trump will be large enough, thus not be close enough for the Dems to cheat their way to a fraudulent win.

And that, 11 days out, is an increasingly clear possibility.

************

Thus the main fear of the HFR remains:  Dem Voter Fraud.  Here are the lead headlines at the top of the Drudge Report today (10/28):

CITIES PUSH FOR ILLEGALS TO VOTE…
DEAD CAST BALLOTS IN CHICAGO…
FROM THE GRAVE IN PHILLY…
VOTE FLIPPING MARYLAND…
ELECTION FRAUD FLORIDA…
FAKE REGISTRATION VIRGINIA…

Add these:

DOJ Warns Efforts to Stop 2016 Voter Fraud Could Violate Federal Law (10/24)

DOJ Opts For Fewer Watchdogs At Polling Places (10/24)

Unprecedented Surge In Election Fraud Incidents From Around The Country (10/28)

The good news in all this is that, at last thanks to Trump shining a spotlight on Dem cheating, Dems aren’t going to be allowed to get away with it as they’ve always been.  And that may make the difference on November 8^th.

************

OK, stop the presses.  The October Surprise of the week just sprang:  FBI Reopens Clinton Probe.  Something about “new evidence.”

The NY Post is having a field day with what they call “Dickileaks.”  Drudge’s headline is “Erection Day Rocked.”  Comey’s evidence has been found Weiner emails:

This could be Comey trying save his derrière.  His reputation is already mud, but if Trump wins, AG Giuliani may prosecute him for obstruction of justice.  He could face prison, not just his name scandalized.  That Comey’s making a CYA move now may signal he believes the odds of a Trump win have risen dramatically.

Carl Bernstein of Watergate fame is saying this has to be “a real bombshell” for Comey to announce this.  Maybe.  He certainly isn’t going to convene a grand jury recommending indictment of her before a week from next Tuesday.  But Comey has caused the entire Moonbat-Libtard-Enemedia world to freak out – and that’s cool.  Sure is fun to see their heads explode.

************

“Trump Smells Blood” is the headline today with the latest Wikileaks revelations on Clinton Corruption.

There is another source of the blood he smells – and that is James O’Keefe’s Project Veritas.  Today (10/28), James released his 5^th underground video secretly taping Clintonistas revealing their dirty tricks.

James is relentless as he is courageous.  The patriotic damage he has done to America’s enemies of freedom is immense.  And you can depend on him to continue doing so.  We are proud to announce that James is the HFR Hero of the Week.

************

That’s a wrap, folks.  We close with this Halloween headline.

Since 1980 with Reagan vs. Carter, the candidate with the most Halloween mask sales has won.  And guess what?  Trump masks are way ahead: Donald Trump will win the election if Halloween mask sales continue their 36-year streak of predicting the next president.

 So have a happy and fun Halloween.  No worries about zombies, ghosts, goblins, and other freakazoids for Clinton.  She’s the past.  We smell victory.  Trick or treat, here we come.